New Alabama Poll: Governor’s Race a Toss-Up as Tuberville Edges Jones 48%-45%
A new statewide survey of likely Alabama voters, conducted by Blueprint Polling, finds the race for governor within the margin of error, with Republican Tommy Tuberville at 48% and Democrat Doug Jones at 45%. Key findings:
The governor’s race is a genuine toss-up. Tuberville leads Jones 48%-45% accounting for leaners, with 7% completely undecided. Before leaners are allocated, the race stands at 45%-44%. The 3-point margin is within the survey’s margin of error. Jones leads among voters under 50 (64%-27%), independents (50%-14%) and women (48%-45%). Tuberville leads among voters 50 and older (62%-32%) and men (52%-41%).
Jones is outperforming his party by roughly 5 points. Republican Barry Moore leads Democrat Everett Wess 48%-40% in the U.S. Senate race, and Republicans lead the generic congressional ballot 48%-40%. Jones runs about 5 points ahead of both Democratic benchmarks, drawing 12% of self-identified Republicans and 11% of 2024 Trump voters.
Undecided voters supported Trump 53%-13%, but 62% now disapprove of the President’s job performance against 24% who approve. They also have an unfavorable view of both Tuberville (18% favorable, 44% unfavorable) and Jones (20% favorable, 38% unfavorable). They lean Republican in the Senate race (25%-15%), but most are undecided across the board.
Blueprint is not affiliated with either gubernatorial campaign. This poll was not sponsored by any outside campaign or organization.
Methodology Blueprint Polling surveyed 695 likely Alabama general election voters October 22-24, 2026, via text-to-web. The margin of error is ±3.72% at the 95% confidence level. Results were weighted to reflect the expected composition of the November 2026 electorate. Full toplines and weighted crosstabs here.
